The New Calvinism
http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1884779_1884782_1884760,00.html
From Times
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8003567.stm
From : BBC News
Obesity: Gene discovery suggests some people are hardwired to overeat
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2008/dec/15/nutrition
From : Guardian.co.uk
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/from_our_own_correspondent/7968143.stm
From : BBC News
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7979599.stm
From : BBC News
10 Ideas Changing the World Right Now - 1. Jobs Are The New Assets
http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1884779_1884782_1884749,00.htm
From : Times
The Trouble with Obama's New Deal
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1884571,00.html?xid=rss-politics
From : Times
Can Right-Brain Thinking Change the World?
http://www.voanews.com/english/AmericanLife/2009-03-23-voa43.cfm
From : VOA news
The One Country That Might Avoid Recession Is...
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1883301,00.html
From Time
New attitude to learn English
[2008/12/20] Today,
I went to the Trinity in Taipei. I attanded the I2-reading class. The
teacher of this class was Stewart. First, I entered to the classroom,
and he asked me that why I went here to learn English? I responded that
because I wanted to learn the more in English. Then, He asked me that
why you wanted to learn more? Anyway, he used this way to check my
purpose. At the end of the day, my purpose is to earn the more money.
Then, he shared what attitude is a
good attitude to learn English. He said that we should put English in
our daily life. We should think in English, we should talk with
English, we should do anything with English. I know, this thought
sounds crazy, but I would try it. Next, I could write the diary to note
some special thing here.
Hey! Juggernaut
It's amazing to see that you have such a great blog.I clould see you've done a lot of efforts in learning english.
Is there any mistake in my sentences? HA! Forgive me, my English is so poor.
Wish you have happy time in learning English.
Are you 則叡?
sorry, I have a long time not coming here. I am so busy recently.
Hi! I didn't know that you responded my message in YOUR blog until I checked the message system today in MY blog. Yes, you are partly right except for missing one error as well -- check the word "enter". How to use the verb "enter"?
Have a good day!
Thanks Angela, I thought I got it. Just "enter the classroom" right? I appreciate you give me some comments, thanks.
Indeed, there are some obvious errors in your article, though, I am very impressed with the effort you've been making in improving your English. I suggest that you spend some time studying the word "the" in your grammar book. Keep going! Practice makes perfect. There's no shortcut in learning English but only efforts. God bless you.
Thanks for your comment. After I check this article, I find some mistakes.
1. attanded -> attended
2. learn the more -> learn more
3. earn the more money -> earn more money
am I right?
No Try No Success
Tonight
I want to share one of my favorite sentences. This is that “No try no
success”. It is very simple, but it is also very hard. What am I
talking about? I mean that the meaning of this sentence is very simple,
but in fact, how many people can do it easily. I guess that maybe just
few people who are really successful can do it. For example, if you
have one grand goal which is very hard to achieve, but it is too
difficult, so maybe you feel frustrated, maybe you want to give up this
goal. Remember, once you give up it, you will never achieve it. Maybe
you can do it, but if you do not try it, you never know whether you can
do it or not. Sometimes your limit is not your real limit. It is all
about your mind, it is up to you. Do you know the slogan of Adidas
advertisement? “Impossible is nothing.” It is up to you.
Next, I want to introduce another sentence which Kevin Lin said. Do you
know Kevin Lin? He is the most famous marathon runner in Taiwan. Last
year, he ran cross the Desert Sahara. This year, he led his team to
attend the “Polar-Challenge Game.” It’s also a hard work right? But he
said “Sometimes you feel afraid, it is ok, you just make your body do
it first, and then your mental courage will be coming soon.” I totally
agree his thoughts. You could feel afraid, but you have to force
yourself to overcome it. I am very impressed by these sentences, so I
share them to you. Remember “No try no success “.
One of my embarrassed experience
You see that I
stand here, and share my story. You must think that I like English in
my whole life or I am good for studying English, but in fact, I hate
studying English before, and my English grades are also poor before.
You must be so curious why I am here, why I am here to tell you of my
story. It’s all about one of my embarrassing experiences. Let me tell
you what’s happened in this embarrassing experience.
On July 14th, 2005. I attended at the international conference about AI in
Before that date, my professor had asked me to present our research on
this conference unfortunately by using English. My English level had
been poor in that time, but I still had wanted to try it. On that day,
when I reached the conference place, I felt shocked. It was in the
5-star hotel near the harbor. The view was very beautiful, but I was
not in the mood to watch this beautiful scenery, because I was a little
nervous. I worried about I didn’t memorize my script, and I worried
about if somebody asked questions to me, but I couldn’t answer them.
Then, I entered to the session room where I will present in. I felt
shocked again. It was so big. I guessed maybe there were 80 to 100
seats in this room. At that time, I felt the more nervous because I was
afraid that I will do something wrong later. Eventually, my time was
coming. I presented my research well. After presenting, I was a little
happy that I didn’t do something wrong, but the happy time was not too
long. After presenting, it was the Q&A time. It was just a hard
time. I remembered that a Taiwanese professor asked me the first
question, but in fact, I just understood half about his question. I
tried to explain my conclusion, but I knew I couldn’t solve his
question. Next, an Indian asked me the second question, and this time
was awful. I totally couldn’t understand what he was talking about. At
that time, I started to felt embarrassed because it was like a
stalemate. We couldn’t communicate with each other. Next, a Japanese
tried to ask me slowly, but I still couldn’t understand his question.
At that time, I felt other audiences must believe I was a fool, and why
my English was so bad. I thought this, and felt embarrassed a lot. This
was my first time I thought my English was really poor.
Retuning
to Taiwan, I started to accept learning English, because after this
experience, I knew having a good idea is not big deal, and the most
important thing is you know how to pass it to others. Therefore, this
embarrassing experience changed me, and this is why I am here.
The Taiwanese are crazy for “The Cape No.7”
Have you ever
watched the hottest movie, The Cape No.7, which made the Taiwanese
crazy? Have you noticed almost all people around you are talking about
this film? Have you found almost news, TV programs, and radio programs
are discussing it? Indeed, recently, it is the hottest movie in
in the box office chart since the beginning of record history.
Especially, this movie is a domestic one. It is very rare to see the
domestic movie become so popular, and make the Taiwanese crazy, but
this movie gets it. Why is this movie so successful? I think this
question is also a question for many readers.
In my opinion,”The Cape No
seizes 3 factors, funny, having feeling, and web marketing. First, it
is really funny. The director, Mr. Wei, designed many ideas to make
audiences laugh, and indeed, he got it. He made almost every audience
give a hearty laugh in the movie theater. In addition, recently, it was
the bad time for the Taiwanese because of the bad economy and the bad
stock market. They were not happy, so they wanted to do something to
relax. This movie just made them happy. Second, this movie is similar
to our usual life. For example, in south of
the police allow the residents riding their scooters without helmets.
Many situations are similar to the Taiwanese’s life, so they have the
feeling that it is a story close to them. Third, this movie is
advertised by using web marketing a lot. Now, it is a web 2.0 periods,
and online users have the ability to affect each other. Therefore, this
movie company focused on web marketing. They hired some people to
criticize this movie in good things on the Internet, and those articles
attracted some people to watch it and posted their opinions on the
internet. Then, the more people were attracted to watch it because of
those many opinions. This is the power of the web 2.0.
I
have watched this movie. I think that this movie is a good one, but in
fact, it is not very excellent. I believe some domestic movies are
better than it in the context, but this movie indeed broke the record
in the Taiwanese movie history. It is not on the top, but it makes us
laugh a lot, and it touches our heard deeply. The most important thing
is that this movie represents the domestic movie market. We should
support them to make more Taiwanese directors create more excellent
domestic movies, and go out to the international movie markets. Have
you watched”The
The
more exercise you do, the healthier you are
The
more exercise you do, the healthier you are. This is a common sense
everybody knows, but how many people do exercise? People in
usually spend so much time for working that they can not do any
exercise. This article will tell you why you have to do exercise.
Why you need to do exercise? Firstly, according some research, doing
more exercise can improve your metabolism. If your metabolism is as
better as athletes are, you will not be as fat as the fat. We all know
the fat are much times as unhealthy as healthy people, so the better
metabolism you have, the healthier you are. Secondly, you have to
release your pressure after a full day of working, so what you do best
is doing exercise. People said doing exercise can help you feel
refreshed and come up with more solutions. If you always work hard all
day, you will lose your health, so you have to relax by doing exercise.
As you can see, if you hope you are getting healthier and healthier,
you need do exercise as a healthy life.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/7909464.stm
From BBC
In Asia, I think we are hard to avoid the long hours working, but in my opinion, we have to find somrthing balance to coordinate our tired body and exhausted mind. For example, even though in the busy life, you can still do some exercise, contact with friends, join in some activities. I mean it is up to your attitude, and you must find some interesting thing to relax.
From : BBC
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7949785.stm
I really have no idea about the history between North Korea and South Korea, but from the news, they seemly prefer South Koera. The news said the North Korea government cheat their citizen with what their country is not bad. I think it totally become their royal belief, and they really don't know the truth.
Kristen asked us if we are the South Koera government or the US, how could we do? I responed that we can use 3 ways. First, negotiate with them as friendly as possible. Second, try to push China to help us because China was usually their partner, once they lost the partner of Chins, they will fell fear. Finally, you have to train some special teams under the table.
From : http://www.time.com
Bunking In with Mom and Dad
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1880642,00.html
Twins and Aging: How Not to Look Old
http://timeinc8-sd11.websys.aol.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1877717,00.htm
Newspapers in Asia: A Positive Story
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1880571,00.htmll
最近參加了一個英文讀書會
算是蠻輕鬆的聚會 成員也蠻雜的 每次來的人員也都不一樣
我在參加的第二個星期就開始擔任host
他們說我很有勇氣 哈
當然啦 以前就常當host啦 難不倒我的啦
OK 在我當host的那個星期 我安排了 "Role Play"
我預設了5個題目 分別是 :
1. 孩子想買高科技產品 但父母不同意
2. sales向顧客推銷商品 但顧客不想買這個牌子
3. 兩人同場面試 兩位面試官各屬意一位 兩人條件類似 各有優劣 但只能挑一位
4. 兩人餐廳吃飯 飯裡有髒東西 正在跟經理和廚師爭論 廚師死不認錯 經理打迷糊帳
5. 帶男(女)朋友回家見父母 談結婚的事 父母不喜歡該男(女)朋友
結果大家在很high的情境下 結束了2個小時的讀書會
最後還必須下個conclusion
"I am glad you guys are interesting in this role play, and for me, I totally can not just memorize the vocabularies by vocabulary books, so I usually just touch more. I hope this natural way can support you to learn English."
From : http://www.iht.com/
http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/06/23/news/brides.php?page=1
http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/06/23/news/brides.php?page=2
Today, we talked about foreign brides. I thought that this is also common in Taiwan, and it is "win-win" deal. Men want wemen, and wemen want to earn more money to change their life. In fact, there are still many problems including prejudices, abuse, cheat, etc.
From : BBC News
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/7884138.stm
2/26 的上課內容
難以想像人口真的多到要開始限制了
不過 文章中提到人口眾多導致global warming 真是不能茍同
也許是原因之一吧 但是我認為有點牽強
2009/02/23. Today, I attended the new English studying group meeting. I am glad that I have this opportunity to practice talking more. I need to be familiar with thinking in English. Anyway, no try no success. Just do it.
Key : alone lonely 使用情境 強調沒有旁人的獨處,可做形容詞或副詞 強調心裡孤獨、寂寞的感覺,形容詞
Example:
When the lights went out, he was all alone in the dark.
燈光熄滅後,他一個人獨自在黑暗中。
I think Lee wants to be alone for a while; let's go.
我想李想自己獨處一會兒;我們走吧。
If you get lonely in your new place, give me a call.
如果你在新地方覺得寂寞的話,打電話給我。
The caged bird looks lonely; you should get him a mate.
那隻關在籠中的鳥看起來很孤單;你該幫牠找個伴。
Answer: 1. alone 2. lonely
資料來源 : LiveABC電子報
說明 :
| all ready | already | |
| 使用情境 | 完全準備好了 | 已經 |
| 位置 | be 動詞之後 | be 動詞之後或一般動詞之前 |
示範句:
The food was all ready, so we were able to eat right away.
食物全都準備好了,所以我們可以馬上開動。
The children are all ready for school.
孩子們都準備好要去上學了。
Denise is already an hour late.
丹妮絲已經遲到一小時了。
I already said that I am not hungry.
我已經說了我不餓。
解答: 1. all ready 2. already
前一陣子得知CNN雜誌在徵稿
因此就將writing的東西 再包裝之後 丟過去
非常幸運地 編輯通知我 即將在2009年2月刊登我的作品
對我這個英文超弱的人來說 簡直是超級的鼓舞阿~
==========Content=============
The causes of the poisonous Chinese milk powder
When we refer to
Firstly, the Chinese had experienced the Culture Revolution. After the Culture Revolution, they have lost some conscience and have not known what is right or wrong. When they face the dilemma of gaining filthy money or being defeated because of doing right things insistently, they often choose gaining filthy money. For example, if you are a herder, you find other herders’ production of milk is more than yours, and their cost is lower than yours because they added some melamine. Hence, if you do not do that, you can not provide production of milk as much as they can, so you will lose the competition finally. In this situation, maybe you choose gaining filthy money like others. Therefore, people always say “Chinese companies are notorious for their greedy for money”.
Secondly, there is more and more demand for milk powder in
The author believes that this matter will have been happened on and off from the past to the future because the greed has become the Chinese’s culture. Most Chinese companies are greedy for money, so they care money much more than people’s health. Once, demands of whatever products increase, they always have the ability to come up with the tips about how to produce more products with something illegal. As you can see, their greed is the main reason for this matter, so if they do not change their mind, this kind of things will be happened again and again.
前一陣子投稿 全國教師協會的活動
活動主題是 人生必讀哪三本書?
結果居然上了 真是有夠幸運
以下是內文
===========內文開始============
如果有人問我:人生必讀哪三本書?我必定不假思索答道:
1. 如何閱讀一本書
2. 邏輯思考的技術
3. 金字塔原理:思考、寫作、解決問題的邏輯方法
選擇這三本書的理由是因為其組合剛好是一個「Input、process and output」的知識學習歷程。
首先,我們必須先學習讀書的技巧與方法,以便個體接收外界的資訊;再來透過邏輯性的思維、篩選資訊內容並加以組織、內化成自己的知識;最後經由更為周密且具邏輯、結構化的寫作歷程,以表述自我想法。
當然,人生要讀的書絕不止於這三本,所謂「給他魚吃,不如教他如何釣魚」,體認知識獲得的過程,掌握良善的技巧與學習方法不僅有助於轉化成個人的知識,還進而產生思想。
這些技巧若能掌握,在求知的道路上應能無往不利。
學英文必須持之以恆
每天都必須接觸它 碰它 當成生活的一部份
恭爵整理了目前網路上相關的網路資源
誰說免費就不是好東西 好好享受他們吧~
1. 字典
http://www.thefreedictionary.com
英文字典的發音有美英兩式發音
http://www.merriam-webster.com/
美加老師推薦
2. 聽力
練聽力必備
http://www.english-trailers.com/index.php
用電影的預告片來練聽力,有Cloze及Script可使用
http://www.listeningexpress.com/
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/yyteacher
此blog幾乎都是截取youtube上的影片 並附上script
還有分困難度 所以學習起來相當有趣
3. 會話
每天都有新的對話內容可以學習 對話內容都是美國人的生活 裡面也有聊天室 可以進去聊聊英文
4. 主題
BBC上有許多單元可以學英文 恭爵推薦News 跟 6-minutes
這裡可以學到很多自然,科學等東西 每天一小段 內容不會太長
VOA 速度慢但非常清楚, 每天都會主題 用字不算太難 非常推薦
之前跟朋友組讀書會時 朋友推薦給恭爵的網站 每星期兩篇文章 除了文章外 還順便練到討論,聽力,Cloze
CNN Students News 有影片, script最後還有問題可回答 恭爵非常推薦
5. 線上文章
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/
http://www.opinionjournal.com/
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/
http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/index.jsp
[2008/12/20] Today, I went to the Trinity in Taipei. I attanded the I2-reading class. The teacher of this class was Stewart. First, I entered to the classroom, and he asked me that why I went here to learn English? I responded that because I wanted to learn the more in English. Then, He asked me that why you wanted to learn more? Anyway, he used this way to check my purpose. At the end of the day, my purpose is to earn the more money.
Then, he shared what attitude is a good attitude to learn English. He said that we should put English in our daily life. We should think in English, we should talk with English, we should do anything with English. I know, this thought sounds crazy, but I would try it. Next, I could write the diary to note some special thing here.
今天第一次上驅勢Stewart的課
首先 他要我們確認我們學英文的真正目的
呵 他有點像面試官 針對你的問題 不斷的往下問
逼你做出選擇或決定
anyway , 說到底 學英文的目的就是為了錢
為了更高的pay 所以學英文來投資自己
ok, 目的確認之後
接下來 他分享他所認為的學英文的正確態度
1. 學語言是門藝術 而台灣人以科學的態度來學習
2. 要自然而然 整個生活都是英文 變成生活中不可或缺的一部份
3. 丟掉自尊 勇敢的在大庭廣眾下說英文
4. 不要怕出錯 因為學英文本來就是個try and error的過程
經由不斷地接觸 不斷地改進 才是真正的進步
小小大星球 入手!!!
之前從CNN的報導中就知道LittleBigPlanet了
那時就很想玩看看
後來資訊展跑去試玩了一下 真的不賴ㄟ
後來就買啦
買來玩了幾天 的確很讚
不過 網路連線遊戲都一直無法連線
或是建立失敗
唉 我很想跟別的玩家一起同樂阿
Tonight I want to share one of my favorite sentences. This is that “No try no success”. It is very simple, but it is also very hard. What am I talking about? I mean that the meaning of this sentence is very simple, but in fact, how many people can do it easily. I guess that maybe just few people who are really successful can do it. For example, if you have one grand goal which is very hard to achieve, but it is too difficult, so maybe you feel frustrated, maybe you want to give up this goal. Remember, once you give up it, you will never achieve it. Maybe you can do it, but if you do not try it, you never know whether you can do it or not. Sometimes your limit is not your real limit. It is all about your mind, it is up to you. Do you know the slogan of Adidas advertisement? “Impossible is nothing.” It is up to you.
Next, I want to introduce another sentence which Kevin Lin said. Do you know Kevin Lin? He is the most famous marathon runner in Taiwan. Last year, he ran cross the Desert Sahara. This year, he led his team to attend the “Polar-Challenge Game.” It’s also a hard work right? But he said “Sometimes you feel afraid, it is ok, you just make your body do it first, and then your mental courage will be coming soon.” I totally agree his thoughts. You could feel afraid, but you have to force yourself to overcome it. I am very impressed by these sentences, so I share them to you. Remember “No try no success “.
答錯不罰 機智對答活動(一) 如果有人問你:人生必讀哪三本書? 你要怎麼回答得巧、回答得妙呢? 限300字以內喔! 對答截止日期: 獎品:「就是愛寫作」書籍一本 說明: 1.感謝時報出版社贊助,自即日起,我們將每月推出「答錯不罰」機智對答活動。 2.請將您的答案寄至教學研究部信箱:apple.a092901@msa.hinet.net 5.12/14 朱天衣等「拉高作文力.就是愛寫作】免費講座開始報名! 報名網址http://www.readingtimes.com.tw/timeshtml/promote/speech081214/index.html ====================== 我已經想好一些idea了 有空把它實作出來吧
3.我們將從中選出至多十篇機智對答與讀者分享,對答獲刊登者將可獲得「就是愛寫作」書籍一本。
4.我們將於
Everyone has something he fears for, and I have, too. Usually, I believe the science more, but in fact, I fear this thing which is not existed in science. That is ghost. I will tell you one of my scary experiences, and this is why I fear the ghost.
There was, I remember when I was a junior high school student, I met the ghost. At one night, I went to bed as usual, and went to my dream soon. Suddenly, I waked up. I felt cold and started to tremble. This cold is not the general cold. It is totally different. I felt cold from my head to my feet. Besides cold, I couldn’t do any moving, I tried to move my arms, hands, and body, but they didn’t work. I could just open my eye, and I saw some shadow jump up and down on my body. At that time, I was conscious of this is the thing people call it the ghost press you in the bed. This is the term the Chinese call it. Then, I felt afraid, so I tried to chant incantations about the Buddhist saying as usual. I wanted to banish this ghost as soon as possible, so I chanted incantations so quick, and didn’t stop, but it didn’t work. In addition, I thought the action I chant incantations maybe anger it because I felt harder and harder. Suddenly, I heard something which is very weird. I heard this ghost told me something. It said “Xi Xi Xi, do you know why chanting incantations doesn’t work? This is because the god’s eye is covered from dust. ” Indeed, at that time, my family worshiped the one god in my home. Finally, I forgot how to stop this situation, but I just knew I jumped to the bed suddenly. Then I ran away from my room, and went to my brother’s room because, at that time, I thought that more men are safer.
During this experience, I started to believe the ghost is existed, and I started to avoid something maybe contact with them easier. But, when I was in senior high school, I even went adventuring in tomb with a group of my friends. Maybe I overcome the ghost just by a lot of people.
You see that I stand here, and share my story. You must think that I like English in my whole life or I am good for studying English, but in fact, I hate studying English before, and my English grades are also poor before. You must be so curious why I am here, why I am here to tell you of my story. It’s all about one of my embarrassing experiences. Let me tell you what’s happened in this embarrassing experience.
On July 14th, 2005. I attended at the international conference about AI in
Retuning to Taiwan, I started to accept learning English, because after this experience, I knew having a good idea is not big deal, and the most important thing is you know how to pass it to others. Therefore, this embarrassing experience changed me, and this is why I am here.
Have you ever watched the hottest movie, The Cape No.7, which made the Taiwanese crazy? Have you noticed almost all people around you are talking about this film? Have you found almost news, TV programs, and radio programs are discussing it? Indeed, recently, it is the hottest movie in
In my opinion,”The Cape No
I have watched this movie. I think that this movie is a good one, but in fact, it is not very excellent. I believe some domestic movies are better than it in the context, but this movie indeed broke the record in the Taiwanese movie history. It is not on the top, but it makes us laugh a lot, and it touches our heard deeply. The most important thing is that this movie represents the domestic movie market. We should support them to make more Taiwanese directors create more excellent domestic movies, and go out to the international movie markets. Have you watched”The
When we refer to
Firstly, the Chinese had experienced the Culture Revolution. After the Culture Revolution, they have lost some conscience and have not known what is right or wrong. When they face the dilemma of gaining filthy money or being defeated because of doing right things insistently, they often choose gaining filthy money. For example, if you are a herder, you find other herders’ production of milk is more than yours, and their cost is lower than yours because they added some melamine. Hence, if you do not do that, you can not provide production of milk as much as they can, so you will lose the competition finally. In this situation, maybe you choose gaining filthy money like others. Therefore, people always say “Chinese companies are notorious for their greedy for money”.
Secondly, there is more and more demand for milk powder in
The author believes that this matter will have been happened on and off from the past to the future because the greed has become the Chinese’s culture. Most Chinese companies are greedy for money, so they care money much more than people’s health. Once, demands of whatever products increase, they always have the ability to come up with the tips about how to produce more products with something illegal. As you can see, their greed is the main reason for this matter, so if they do not change their mind, this kind of things will be happened again and again.
The more exercise you do, the healthier you are. This is a common sense everybody knows, but how many people do exercise? People in
Why you need to do exercise? Firstly, according some research, doing more exercise can improve your metabolism. If your metabolism is as better as athletes are, you will not be as fat as the fat. We all know the fat are much times as unhealthy as healthy people, so the better metabolism you have, the healthier you are. Secondly, you have to release your pressure after a full day of working, so what you do best is doing exercise. People said doing exercise can help you feel refreshed and come up with more solutions. If you always work hard all day, you will lose your health, so you have to relax by doing exercise. As you can see, if you hope you are getting healthier and healthier, you need do exercise as a healthy life.
經理人月刊200807筆記
1. 大前研一的4個思考訓練法
(1) 用英文表達想法
意外地產生新構想
(2) 坐在車子左側靠窗
刺激右腦
(3) 閉眼行走
刺激大腦中平常沒使用到的地方
(4) 逆向做筆記
刺激大腦各種不同的部位
結論:多嘗試新鮮事來刺激大腦
2. 5W2H
(1) Why
為什麼要做這項任務?
(2) What
這項任務的內容是什麼?
(3) When
何時開始實施?
(4) Where
在何地實施?
(5) Who
由誰來負責?
(6) How much
成本預估為多少?
(7) How
如何做?
3. MECE
全名:Mutually Exclusive & Collectively Exhaustive(互不重複、全無遺漏)
MECE是一種集合的概念,將現有資料當成母集合,思考如何將母集合切割成完全沒有重複及遺漏的子集合。換言之。MECE是將某件事拆解成彼此沒有重複且完全沒有遺漏的組合,以掌握這件事的整體關係。
4. So What?Why So?
(1) So What?
從整體資料或經過分類整理的內容中找到可能的答案。
(2) Why So?
針對So What的結果,再去追問為什麼是這個答案,並以手邊資料做進一步的驗證。
5. 推薦的邏輯思考書籍
(1) 『邏輯思考法圖解』
難易度:*
作者:西村克己
簡述:圖解基本思考術,入門書。
(2) 『新.企業參謀』
難易度:**
作者:大前研一
簡述:利用主題樹將大問題切成小問題。
(3) 『QBQ!問題背後的問題』
難易度:**
作者:John Miller
簡述:利用有技巧的問話,找出問題背後的原意。
(4) 『邏輯思考的技術』
難易度:***
作者:照屋華子、岡田惠子
簡述:MECE 和 「So What?/Why So?」
(5) 『金字塔原理』
難易度:***
作者:Barbara Minto
簡述:主題樹
(6) 『[心智圖練習簿』
難易度:***
作者:片岡俊行
簡述:心智圖
[別被那些死多頭的媒體大師榨光你的口袋了]
晚上看到新聞哇哇哇上的**團隊的張先生與房仲業的彭先生,,以及出貨週刊的盧小姐,還在鼓吹房市股市的多頭大夢,站在他們的出貨與利益立場,當然這些人會看多,況且講些多頭的話相當討喜....不像我,當一隻烏鴉,救不了幾個人,卻顧人怨到連新書都賣不出去
美國7月密西根消費信心56.6,近28年來最低水準。美國景氣正式步入蕭條。請注意,我不是用衰退,我是用蕭條
以色列準備攻打伊朗?紐約原油飆至146.90美元,創歷史新高。誰說通膨受到控制,我估計這波惡性通膨至少還要持續半年以上。
財務困境引發恐慌 Fannie與Freddie股價開盤大跌45%.....再一次提醒大家,這兩家公司不是等閒之輩,她們將會引發另一波美國房市與金融市場的大災難,別小看這兩家公司。
融資由3686億降到2960億,減幅19.7%;指數卻從9309跌到6976,下挫25.1%。融資至少還要減肥200億才夠(這必需要建立在6976點沒有被跌破的情況下),6906點才能確定是底部,以現在多頭又用奧運議題來麻痺散戶的警戒心來看,200億至少要減個十幾天才能減得乾淨。
最後!別再被那些媒體與大師給騙了,反彈就是賣點,不反彈更是賣點,我不會因為自己滿手現金就蠢蠢欲動,我也不是死空頭,我只是不能賠錢,我和你們不一樣,你們有薪水有生意的收入可以賠,我完全靠投資過日,一點風險都擔不起,絕不摸底是自己最高的操作原則。
來源 : http://www.wretch.cc/blog/bonddealer/11737450
[底部的十種訊號]
首先,必需先說我的底部認定很龜毛的,先得滿足幾個技術條件
1.至少從高點下來要十三個月,那麼這至少是2008年12月
2.週成交量至少要低於兩千四百億
3.指數從9309跌到6708,跌幅28%;本波融資高點為3686億,那麼至少要減少28%,也就是融資要降到2653億;而且如果指數的低點若再創新低,則融資減少的滿足量還要進一步動態往下修正,請自行動態計算之
還必需發生一些事情:
1.接二連三的企業地雷,這次惡性停滯性通膨的影響下,上半年的財報將有許多公司會發生毛利大幅下降,與庫存爆增的不利因子發生
2.三個月內不要再有大型的歐美中日的金融業發生問題
3.油價要至少三個月不能再創新高
最好再發生這些事情
1.嚴重的示威抗議流血衝突
2.反指標-今週刊與世新大學的投資人信心指數創新低
或跑出下面的總經數字
1.當季名目經濟成長率不到1%,甚至於是負的
2.美國fed開始升息(最好是升第二次)
至於要滿足幾項,越多的話就越安全,10個指標至少要滿足六到七個吧
來源 : http://www.wretch.cc/blog/bonddealer/11737823